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Tues@11



Anticipating the anticipations of others
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The Death of...
This week, I happened upon a WSJ article about the 'death of the electric guitar'. For Boomers, , who've been raised on the guitar heros...
Nickles in front of a Steamroller
The only thing to fear seems to be the lack of fear itself. Risk model: 3 out of 5 - mildly bullish but still no rotation to cyclicals....
FAANG BANG
With a collective slap in the face, Mr. Market has taken some of the complacency out of this market. A Goldman Sachs note sent to clients...


The Slippery Slope
The yield curve, or more accurately its shape, is the best economic forecaster I have ever met. The above chart is created by...


The C.A.P.E. Crusader
Professor Robert Shiller, the Yale University, Nobel prize winning professor, announced last week, to the amazement of many, that the...
House of Cards
Risk Model: 3 out of 5... Beta Up Netflix will be issuing season five of the blockbuster series, House of Cards, this month and the...


Impeach the Bull!
Yesterday's sell-off has triggered a mechanical sell signal from the risk model. The Vix spike yesterday and the collapse of bullish...


Correlation Deflation! Risk Model : 3 - Beta up
One of the hallmarks of an aging bull market is a drop in correlation. In its initial stages, a market cycle is characterized by ...


RIP Reflation?
Risk Model : 4/5 Beta up! The Trump Dump Investors sure have a short attention span. January's hopes of an immediate fiscal reflation...
On Risk Taking
Risk Model: 5 - Beta up! Lessons Learned in the Investment Trenches “Investing is the only business I know that when things go on sale,...
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